Author: Smead Capital Management

Star Trek Stock Market

Now that the leaders of the most popular tech companies are going into outer space, we thought it appropriate to consider the return implications of this urge to “explore strange new worlds.” We believe the investor’s enemy is stock market failure. Stock market failure is a function of financial euphoria. Financial euphoria can be tracked historically. […]

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Ground Control to Major Tom

As we have been holding calls with prospective and current investors of our firm, we have been arguing that the stock market is underwhelming the success of the economy. The lift off in economic activity could be far more troubling to stock market investors than their giddiness merits. The song that continues to come to my mind is David Bowie’s “Space Oddity” as we believe that today, unlike the past 10 years, is an economic oddity.

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1Q21 Newsletter: Winning the Peace

Our outlook for 2021 is formed by the need to get away from the crowd and to expect some very stormy weather in the U.S. stock market. We are not afraid of drowning. Therefore, we will review the circumstances at the bottom of the market in 2009 with today’s market to see where the crowd is and where we need to go to avoid the coming storm.

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Dumb and Dumber III

[…] Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger emphasize that the key to investment success is weak competition. Recently, two sets of investors, newbie investors through Reddit (and other chatrooms) and hedge fund managers running non-transparent portfolios of immense size, were both blessed and cursed by unusual success at the same time. One of the worst things a market can do to you is reward you for bad behavior and that has happened way more than normal. A quick review is necessary. […]

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Animal Spirits at Cocktail Parties

[…] A classical education and the texts that form its base have lasted because there is truth that has been tested time and time again. The reason value has lasted is because it has truth that has been tested time and time again. We may not quote stocks in eighths or quarters like John Maynard Keynes or Benjamin Graham did, but we think in congruent terms. Our work is “done to last forever.” Our clients benefit from the permanence of this. The public will be a victim In Sententia Tempore. We applaud our investors for having the gumption to stick to dead, but timeless thinking. They fear stock market failure and the opinion of the times.

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Cheddar: Cole Smead, CFA on End of Bull Market Signals

    Dow Closes at Record, But Other Major Indexes End Day Lower Host: Kristen Scholer For more information go to www.cheddar.com. Stocks mentioned: DISCA, BAC, JPM The information contained in this article represents SCM’s opinions, and should not be construed as personalized or individualized investment

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Stock Investments in an Antitrust Era

Lina Khan is being appointed to the Federal Trade Commission by President Biden’s administration. There are rumblings of resistance from Republican Senators like Mike Lee from Utah. This missive is devoted to helping our investors understand these matters and the impact this could have on stock market returns over the next ten years. Remember, the key to success in common stock ownership is avoiding stock market failure.

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In Sententia Tempore (In the Opinion of the Times)

[…] A classical education and the texts that form its base have lasted because there is truth that has been tested time and time again. The reason value has lasted is because it has truth that has been tested time and time again. We may not quote stocks in eighths or quarters like John Maynard Keynes or Benjamin Graham did, but we think in congruent terms. Our work is “done to last forever.” Our clients benefit from the permanence of this. The public will be a victim In Sententia Tempore. We applaud our investors for having the gumption to stick to dead, but timeless thinking. They fear stock market failure and the opinion of the times.

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