“What we see right now is a transition period from the enormous surge in economically sensitive things to investors going back to what they should care about, which is how long is a franchise going to last, how well is the company going to do for the next 3 to 5 years,” Bill Smead told CNBC.
Recent Missives
Recession Fear Investing
January 24, 2023
A recession is two consecutive quarters of economic contraction. Historically, highly inverted yield curves like we have now are predictive of recessions. The 10 Year Treasury Bond interest rate has dropped from 4.3%...
⟶ Keep Reading4Q22 International Value Strategy Newsletter: The Law of Comparative Advantage
January 15, 2023
[...] The frustration of other investors and the strength of non-US dollar assets we believe will be our comparative advantage.
⟶ Keep Reading4Q22 U.S. Value Strategy Newsletter: Shame on Me in 2023
January 15, 2023
[...] We at Smead Capital Management believe the stock market wants to cause stock market failure by being extremely difficult in 2023. Most investors were fooled in 2022 by expecting circumstances similar to...
⟶ Keep ReadingNot the Cool Kids
January 10, 2023
[...] In the stock-picking world of the last 40 years, we consider Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Peter Lynch, John Templeton and other long-duration value investors to be the “cool kids.” They took dramatically...
⟶ Keep ReadingUnreliable Contrarianism
December 20, 2022
It appears to us at Smead Capital Management that investors are behaving in a way that will damage their capital and cause them to suffer stock market failure. In 2022, as the favorite...
⟶ Keep ReadingCompanies Still SOIL-ing Themselves
December 13, 2022
I was reminded in a recent read of Robert Hagstrom’s book, Warren Buffett: Inside the Ultimate Money Mind, how Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger define the economic earnings power of a business. They...
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